Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.494509 2.887457 3.330592 3.868990 4.507652 5.243740 6.160221
2025-02-23 1.913825 2.427512 3.069991 3.939914 5.098262 6.603314 8.732539
2025-03-02 1.572924 2.116623 2.844195 3.903169 5.428734 7.583466 10.923095
2025-03-09 1.372306 1.936685 2.734503 3.966954 5.863313 8.738890 13.563082
2025-03-16 1.196937 1.756720 2.584837 3.929651 6.118116 9.646280 15.991260
2025-03-23 1.064390 1.616707 2.467124 3.910946 6.382005 10.594478 18.673316
2025-03-30 0.945560 1.479725 2.331466 3.835429 6.527767 11.354489 21.172277
2025-04-06 0.872760 1.405598 2.284442 3.896840 6.913952 12.600949 24.875979
2025-04-13 0.785435 1.296174 2.163198 3.807124 7.003579 13.298948 27.621522
2025-04-20 0.746969 1.264929 2.171569 3.952304 7.561392 15.018168 32.999153
2025-04-27 0.689908 1.194197 2.100275 3.934641 7.788415 16.091330 37.170865
2025-05-04 0.658581 1.166164 2.103279 4.061643 8.334941 17.961854 43.798542
2025-05-11 0.611720 1.111361 2.062710 4.124301 8.824069 19.977078 51.939899
2025-05-18 0.568929 1.060909 2.027590 4.202039 9.389359 22.390090 62.347069
2025-05-25 0.520416 0.992612 1.946165 4.162458 9.666484 24.151799 71.592288
2025-06-01 0.487598 0.951591 1.915084 4.231053 10.227220 26.836141 85.030711
2025-06-08 0.449651 0.895242 1.843378 4.190938 10.497962 28.788777 96.939042
2025-06-15 0.417564 0.847490 1.784098 4.170824 10.819643 30.997276 110.955479
2025-06-22 0.384715 0.794354 1.705824 4.089628 10.952728 32.666820 123.787856
2025-06-29 0.364898 0.767809 1.685458 4.155656 11.534415 36.004374 145.649139
2025-07-06 0.337074 0.720143 1.609197 4.059199 11.601764 37.606143 160.702270
2025-07-13 0.326227 0.710404 1.623429 4.215298 12.507546 42.563089 195.406135
2025-07-20 0.306836 0.678477 1.578700 4.196304 12.837427 45.472729 221.660635